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2024-12-13 05:40:32

Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting, it released chaotic signals. Japanese traders were confused about when to raise interest rates. After the Bank of Japan officials' remarks and media reports sent different signals, traders have been confused about when the central bank might raise interest rates in the past week. This kind of confusion led to sharp fluctuations in the market's interest rate hike bets. The overnight index swap pricing showed that the probability of raising interest rates in December was 22%, which was significantly lower than 60% at the beginning of last week. This week, the yen fell from 150 last Friday to a low of 152.18 to the dollar, and the exchange rate was 151.73 at 10:40 Tokyo time. Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan, said in an interview last month that the interest rate hike was approaching. A few days later, a report by the news agency emphasized the concern of the central bank about raising interest rates prematurely. Tomaki Nakamura, a member of the Dove Policy Committee, said last week that he was not opposed to raising interest rates, but this month's policy decision must consider data factors.In November, Sichuan CPI rose by 0.1% year-on-year, and the price increase of pork and fresh vegetables dropped from the previous month. On December 10, the data released by the Sichuan Survey Corps of the National Bureau of Statistics showed that the consumer price index (CPI) in Sichuan rose by 0.1% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by 0.1 percentage point from the previous month. It decreased by 0.7% from the previous month. From January to November, the consumer price of Sichuan residents decreased by 0.1% compared with the same period of last year. In terms of food, the price of food, tobacco and alcohol rose by 1.8% year-on-year in November, and the growth rate dropped by 1.1 percentage points from the previous month. Among them, the prices of pork and fresh vegetables increased by 15.2% and 14.0% year-on-year, respectively, and the growth rate dropped from last month; The price of fresh fruit changed from a year-on-year increase of 3.4% last month to an increase of 2.0%; The prices of eggs and aquatic products decreased by 1.6% and 0.6% respectively. From the ring comparison, the price of food, tobacco and alcohol decreased by 1.9% from 0.3% last month, mainly because the average temperature in November was higher than that in previous years, which was beneficial to the production, storage and transportation of agricultural products, and most fresh food prices were affected by the super-seasonal decline. 


The New Zealand dollar fell to $0.57885, the lowest since October 2023.Bank of Communications International: In November, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the mainland was 52.3%, and the performance in December was optimistic. Bank of Communications International published a research report to give the mainland auto industry a leading rating. According to the report, the retail sales of passenger cars increased by 16.5% year-on-year in November; The retail penetration rate of new energy vehicles was 52.3%, exceeding 50% for the fifth consecutive month, and the retail sales of new energy vehicles increased by 50.5% year-on-year. In November, the export growth slowed down, and the proportion of new energy vehicles fell to 20%. The bank pointed out that considering that the Spring Festival in 2025 is earlier than that in 2024, some car purchases before the Spring Festival will be completed by the end of 2024, and the subsidy policy for trade-in will enter the final stage in December, and some car companies are also sprinting sales through promotional activities. The bank expects the passenger car market in December. It is expected to maintain the potential of the current retail sales to continue to increase year by year. However, after the sales sprint in December, the auto market entered the off-season of consumption, so it is necessary to be cautious that the stock price performance of the auto sector may fluctuate.Hong kong stocks minimally invasive robots rose more than 13%. The company completed the placement of a total of 34.7 million shares, and the net proceeds from the placement were about HK$ 266 million.


India's SENSEX30 index opened 0.07% higher at 81,568.39 points. Among the constituent stocks, ULTRATECH CEMENT opened 1% higher, Asian Coatings rose 0.74% and BAJAJ FINANCE rose 0.62%. In terms of decline, Mahengda Information Technology opened 0.44% lower, India Industrial Credit Investment Bank fell 0.33%, and HCL TECHNOLOGIES fell 0.26%.Survey by Monetary Authority of Singapore: Economists have lowered Singapore's non-oil domestic export growth forecast from 3.0% to 1.0% in 2024.Offcn Education has set up a new company in Hainan with digital technology services. According to the enterprise survey APP, recently, Hainan Offcn Zhiyuan Education Technology Co., Ltd. was established, with Li Delin as the legal representative and a registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: enrollment assistance services; Digital technology services, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is indirectly wholly-owned by Zhonggong Education.

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